Some think 2021 killed data models of bitcoin’s price because pretty much every prediction failed. Stock-to-Flow promised $135,000 in December 2021 as a “worst-case scenario.” https://twitter.com/100trillionUSD/status/1406577006230245376 Oops. Bob Loukas’s Four-Year Cycle missed both the time and price of the cycle peak in 2021. The current halving cycle doesn’t align with previous ones and logarithmic growth … Continue reading Bitcoin’s Data Models are Dead? Hardly →

I get it. It’s crypto. You want somebody to tell you what’s going to happen next. Just tell me whether the price will go up or down, Mark! I can’t tell you that. I can tell you what I’ll do when the price goes up or down. I can give you perspective on the market and the … Continue reading Want to Get Ahead With Crypto? Seek Knowledge Not Expertise →

When you entered the crypto market, you found a lot of excitement. Data models predicted riches. YouTube and Twitter told you the market would explode to the upside. It doesn’t feel that way today, but it should. Since last summer, you’ve stood on the ground floor of the next leg up, and it’s a whole … Continue reading Why the Crypto Market Always Seems to Let You Down →

Sometimes I take calls from people who want to consult or get my advice on cryptocurrency and the crypto markets. Do you know what question I dread the most? Mark, what do you think will happen? I’m happy to answer and appreciate the confidence you have in my opinion, but does it really matter? This … Continue reading With Bitcoin, Embrace Uncertainty →

Bitcoin’s price went 6% higher in November 2021 than it did in April 2021. Its lowest price in January 2022 was 15% higher than its lowest price in June 2021. By crypto logic, that means our next all-time high will come at $73,000 in June 2022, 6% higher than our November 2021 high. After that, … Continue reading Forget About Bitcoin’s Price Predictions. Do This Instead →

What happened to bitcoin? We didn’t get supercycle in 2021. Bitcoin’s price didn’t even reach $100,000! And many altcoins only gave you gains of 500% or less. Some are even lower now than last year. What happened to laser eyes? Where is my 100x altcoin? Now, bitcoin’s price has gone up 33% since the end … Continue reading With Crypto, Wait for Greed and You’ll Get It →

I had a chance to catch up with Eloisa Marchesoni, a highly-regarded token expert and consultant. As I transition away from writing about specific altcoins, I thought you might like to hear a little about her journey and perspective on altcoins. If you can find some time, I’d encourage you to look into what she’s … Continue reading An Interview With Crypto Expert and Token Guru Eloisa Marchesoni →

Since the beginning of November 2021, whales and institutions have sold bitcoin and other cryptos. We know this because we can see their actions in the movements of bitcoins on the blockchain. At the same time, we had at least three liquidation events—December 3, 2021, January 4, 2022, and January 20, 2022. A lot of … Continue reading Thank You, Bitcoin Traders, for Making Us Rich →

While everybody argues about whether NFTs are really just JPEGs, creators are using them for all sorts of reasons that have nothing to do with graphic art. One writer, Elle Griffin, used NFTs to fund the first chapters of one of her novels. I had a chance to catch up with her as part of … Continue reading A Novel as an NFT: Elle Griffin and the Author’s Challenge →

Do you buy the same amount of bitcoin on a fixed schedule regardless of price? For example, $20 every payday or $10 each week? I get it. Everybody’s telling you to do it. Sometimes you buy high, sometimes you buy low, but you’re always stacking sats no matter what the price is doing. When the … Continue reading Stop Dollar-Cost Averaging Into Bitcoin →